Widow’s Padres at Cubs Free Baseball Picks: 8/16
August 16, 2010
Black Widow Free Pick for Monday:
1* on Padres/Cubs OVER 8.5
Two below-average starting pitchers square off tonight in Kevin Correia and Tom Gorzellany, which should easily lead to at least 9 combined runs scored in the Cubs/Padres game Monday. Correia sports a 4.86 ERA and 1.414 WHIP this year. Gorzellany is having a decent season overall, but in his last 3 starts he is 0-1 with a 5.59 ERA and 1.449 WHIP. Neither starter has fared well against their opposition. Correia has posted a 6.19 ERA and 1.875 WHIP in 3 career starts against chicago, while Gorzellany sports a 4.24 ERA and 1.765 WHIP in 3 career starts against San Diego. Both teams are pretty hot at the plate right now as well. Chicago is hitting .289 and scoring 5.3 runs/game over their last 7 contests, while the Padres are hitting .279 and scoring 5.4 runs/game over their last 7. Gorzelanny is 8-0 OVER (+8.2 Units) against NL West opponents over the last 2 seasons. The OVER is 10-3 in Correia’s last 13 starts overall. The OVER is 8-0 in Gorzelanny’s last 8 starts after his team allowed 5 runs or more in their previous game. Take the OVER 8.5 runs here.
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