Widow’s NCAA Basketball Free Picks: 2/11
February 11, 2010
Black Widow Free Pick for Thursday:
1* on San Diego +10.5
Inflated line here Thursday. Portland had been playing solid basketball before a 49-76 loss to Gonzaga last time out. That loss to the Zags was a huge blow to their confidence, and we fully expect Portland to suffer a hangover from it tonight when San Diego comes to town. Portland is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) after 15 or more games since 1997. San Diego will be looking for revenge after a 9-point home loss to Portland back on January 14th, while Portland will be disinterested tonight having already beaten this team. San Diego is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. Portland is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. Take San Diego and the points.
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