Widow’s NCAA Basketball Free Picks: 1/30

Black Widow Free Pick for Saturday:

1* on Loyola-Chicago +17

This is a very big spread for Wright State to have to cover Saturday, and we’ll take the points because of it.  These teams have virtually identical record as Loyola-Chicago is 12-8 while Wright State sits at 13-8 this season.  This line has been inflated due to Loyola’s performance earlier this week, a 20-point loss at Detroit.  But Loyola is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a road loss by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.  Loyola already beat Wright State, 53-52, at home earlier this season.  This is a key factor because Wright State is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points over the last 3 seasons.  The odds makers have missed their mark badly here.  Take Loyola-Chicago and the points.

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