Widow’s Magic at Heat NBA Free Picks: 12/17

Black Widow Free Pick for Thursday:

***47-31 Run L78 Free Picks!***

1* on Miami Heat +4.5

The Heat catching points at home Thursday is an absolute gift.  This is the second of a back-to-back for Orlando, and their 3rd game in 4 days so they are clearly the more tired team right now.  Miami has had a day to rest since their 20-point throttling of Toronto last time out.  Miami is a solid 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.  The Heat are 27-10 ATS (+16.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.  Better yet, Miami is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus bad pressure defensive teams – forcing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.  The Heat already won at Orlando earlier this year, and we don’t feel the Magic will be able to match the effort they get from Miami tonight having to play their 3rd game in 4 days.  Take the Heat and the points.

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