Widow’s Braves at Phillies MLB Free Picks: 7/5

July 5, 2010

Black Widow Free Pick for Monday:

1* on Atlanta Braves +177

At 48-34 this season, the Braves are certainly worth a free pick Monday at this price.  Derek Lowe is 9-6 with a 4.53 ERA this year and 1-1 with a 3.32 ERA in his last 3 starts.  Lowe is 7-4 with a 3.22 ERA in 15 career starts against Philadelphia.  Certainly Lowe is no Roy Halladay, but the Phillies also aren’t the same team they were the past two seasons when they made it to the World Series.  Philly is battling the injury bug right now, with both Chase Utley and Placido Polanco out.  In fact, seven Philadelphia players are currently injured.  The Phillies held a 4.5-game lead back on May 22, but have gone 16-23 since and are now 5 games behind the Braves in the NL East standings.  Roy Halladay is just 6-11 (-9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons.  The Phillies are 7-12 (-15.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 over the last 2 seasons.  Atlanta is 7-2 in their last 9 games following a loss, and 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. NL East opponents.  Take Atlanta on the Money Line.

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97-66 (60%) Run on 6* Widow Wiseguy Top Plays!

44-30 (60%) Run on NBA 6* Top Plays!

20-14 NBA Run!

8-2 L10 NBA Totals!

SIZZLIN’ 20-10 (67%) MLB 6* Run!

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12 of Last 15 Cards WIN!

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4* Braves/Phillies Total! (ESPN)

4* Yankees/A’s Total!

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Published Streaks in Other Sports from The Black Widow:

82-54 (60%) NFL Record this season!

#1 Ranked NFL Handicapper in 2009-10!

#4 Ranked NFL Handicapper in the World for 2008-09!

#3 Ranked NFL Handicapper in the World for 2007-08!

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89-56 (62%) NFL Run Since 2008!

18-5 (78%) Monday Night Football Roll Since 2008!

188-150 CBB Run!

RECENT 51-38 CBB Run!