Cowboys at Eagles Sunday Night Football Pick

November 6, 2009

Bet at 5dimes

The 5-2 Dallas Cowboys head to Philadelphia to take on the 5-2 Eagles this week for Sunday Night football. The live NFL spreads show that Philly is a 3 point favorite, with the total posted at 47.5. Jeff Hochman is here to dissect the matchup to help you preview this game.

This should be one dandy of a football game in front of a large audience this coming Sunday Night. I will be watching from Pre-game through Post-game. Let’s take a look at some key news, notes, and stats from this divisional match-up. For all you trend devotees, I posted three from my database.

The Eagles will be playing their 3rd straight game vs. an NFC opponent. They are 2-0 SU and ATS in the previous two games. If Brian Westbrook is out (check status) that will be a big loss for Philadelphia. He has had big games vs. Dallas in his career. Dallas has put up 101 points in their last 3 games. Miles Austin has given this team a big-time #1 receiver. He also works with a passion that has been demanded on this Cowboys’ team since T.O.
Owens left. Get to recognize the 6-3, 213- pound wideout because he is a rising star. I compare him to Larry Fitzgerald who is the same height but 5 pounds heavier. Miles is faster. They both play the exact corresponding way. (120% on every down)

2008 – That’s the game Dallas got their butt spanked by Philadelphia. The final was 44-6! That’s also the day I believed Wade Phillips would get axed. I am not his strongest fan to say the least, but he has done a adequate job so far this year.

Something’s Gotta Give

The Cowboys pass for 263 yards per game but the Eagles only allow 193 passing yards per game. The Cowboys are 5-1 SU and ATS vs. the NFC East while the Eagles are 4-1 SU and ATS.

Better Offense

Dallas Cowboys average 411 YPG this year compared to 344 for Philly.

Better Defense

Philadelphia Eagles average 296 Yards against equated to 360 for Dallas. Philly has a skill for making turnovers. Dallas does not and in fact ranks last in takeaways.

Better Special Teams

After the first two weeks I would have said Philadelphia. As of right now I would say it’s pretty even.

Better Coaching Staff

Philadelphia Eagles- Andy Reid is one of the best HC’s in all of football.

Intangibles

Dallas Cowboys– They got their ass handed to them in last year’s playoff game by these same Eagles.

Lets talk Total

The Cowboys are 5-3 to the Over this year and the Eagles are 6-1 to the Over. Hence the line is so high at 47.5 points. The Over is 6-1-1 L8 when these teams meet in Philly. Most of the time when the Over looks like a can’t miss prospect the exact opposite happens. Be careful!

Top Trends

The Cowboys are 8-2 ATS last ten November games.

The Cowboys are 22-9 SU and 18-13 ATS vs. the NFC East since 2006.

The Philadelphia Eagles are 11-1 ATS L12 in games after facing the NY “football” Giants.