Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears Free NFL Pick
November 6, 2009
View the Black Widow’s free NFL prediction on Sunday is on the Cardinals/Bears OVER 44: Look for plenty of offensive fireworks Sunday between the Bears and Cardinals at Soldier Field to get this OVER. Arizona has been at their greatest offensively as a visitor this year, while Chicago has been putting up lots of points at home. The Cardinals average 27.3 points/game as a visitor, while the Bears put up 31.7 points/game at home. Neither team has been all that great defensively this year as both squads allow over 20 points/game. The Bears are 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) as a home chalk of 3 points or fewer over the past 3 years. The OVER is 10-2 in Cardinals past 12 games as an dog of 0.5-3.0. The OVER is 12-3-1 in Arizona’s last 16 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0. The OVER is 40-15 in Arizona’s last 55 games as an underdog. Arizona is 39-18 OVER in their last 57 road games. You can see a pattern developing here that when the Cardinals are a road dog, chances are it’s going to result in a high-scoring occasion. The OVER is 11-1 in the Bears’ last 12 games overall when listed as a chalk of 0.5-3.0 points. The OVER is 18-6 in Bears past 24 games as a home chalk. We see no way this one stays under the number by game’s end. Take the OVER 44 points here.
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